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The Calendar
Call is an option strategy that can gain with little or no stock movement.
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Strategy: Calendar
Call, ATM
a.k.a.
Horizontal Spread, Time Spread
The
Outlook: Neutral on stock price movement, and Implied Volatility
currently low or normal. The expectation is that gains will be made from
the passage of time, and not stock price movement.
The Trade:
Sell call(s) using the strike price nearest the current stock price,
and a near term expiration date, and buy call(s) using the same strike
price and an expiration date further out in time.
Gains
when: Stock price stays in a narrow range, while near term short
calls lose value due to the passage of time faster than the long term
calls.
Maximum
Gain: Must use an options calculator or graphing software. Usually
about equal to the initial debit.
Loses
when: Stock goes up or down beyond the breakeven points, or before
expiration if volatility falls too much.
Maximum
Loss : Limited to the initial debit.
Breakeven
Calculation: There are two breakeven points, above and below the
ATM strike. An options calculator or graphing software is necessary to
calculate because the breakevens depend on the volatility.
Advantages
compared to stock: Ability to profit from no stock movement, much
less capital required, "built-in" stop loss.
Disadvantages
compared to stock: Greater risk of 100% loss of the capital invested,
no dividends, limited life, stock movement up or down is harmful to the
strategy.
Volatility:
after entry, increasing implied volatility is positive.
Time:
after entry, the passage of time is positive.
Margin
Requirement : None. Initial debit must be paid in full.
Variations:
Calendar Call ITM is more
bearish, Calendar Call OTM is
more bullish.
Synthetic
Equivalent: No true synthetic, but a Calendar
Put ATM using same strikes and expiration dates is a nearly identical
position.
Comments
- A Calendar
Call is probably the most commonly used "neutral" strategy,
meaning a strategy that can gain from a stock that does NOT rise or
fall.
- The theory
of a Calendar Call is that you are selling near-term calls, and their
value will decay with the passage of time faster than the value of the
long-term calls you buy. This is an example of the
Greek "theta": near-term options lose time value faster
than far-term options.
- The upper
and lower breakeven points of a Calendar Call are determined by the
volatility of the stock. A stock with higher volatility will have a
wider range of profitability. However, buying a Calendar Call when the
stock is at historically high volatility is a bad idea. The volatility
returning to normal levels can easily overcome the gains from the passage
of time.
- Even though
a Calendar Call starts out "neutral", the longer you hold
it the less neutral it becomes. In the graph at the top of the page,
you can see that even a 3 point move up or down on the day of entry
doesn't cause much of a loss. The closer to expiration, the more any
stock move up or down would hurt the position. See the Delta
Neutral Trading page for more information.
- Besides
being used for just a "neutral" outlook on a stock, a Calendar
Call might be used if your outlook was "near term neutral, far
term bullish". Such a situation might occur a couple months before
a stock reported earnings. In the near term, you don't expect the stock
to move, but in the far term you want to be bullishly positioned. You
would want to have the near term short calls expire worthless, and continue
to hold the far term long calls for possible gain. A Calendar Call is
a much less risky bet than two separate trades of selling calls naked
in the near term, and then buying long calls in a month or so.
- Very long-term
Calendar Calls can be used if you expect no stock movement now, but
bullish movement "sometime", not necessarily in two months.
For instance, you can construct a Calendar by selling the near term,
and using LEAPs for the long term. In this way, you might be able to
collect premium every month that the stock does not move, while being
bullishly positioned if the stock does move higher. This is very tricky:
if the stock drops, you won't be able to collect much premium on short
calls with the same strike as your long calls. If the stock rises while
you hold short calls, the whole position will go against you instead
of for you.
- Other
variations of Calendar Calls can be used if you have a near term bullish
or bearish opinion on a stock or ETF, and want to target a "sweet
spot" higher or lower than the current price. See Calendar
Call, OTM for a bullish strategy, and Calendar
Call, ITM for a bearish strategy.
Exits
- Since
this is a neutral position, the trader is expecting the stock to go
nowhere. If the stock does start to move, it is usually wise to exit
the trade, taking less than the maximum possible loss. Using the graph
at the top of the page, you might exit if the stock got to about 46
or 54 within two weeks, and your loss would be about half the maximum
possible.
- Many Calendar
Call traders with a gain try to be out of the trade with a week left
to expiration. See the Delta
Neutral Trading page for reasons why.
- Over the
long term, successful Calendar Call traders try to beat the market by
having many small gains, and fewer small losses. They do not usually
take the maximum loss nor try to squeeze every penny out of the winners.
- If the
reason for entry of the trade was to gain from the stock going nowhere
in the near term, but hold long calls in case of a bullish move in the
long term, then the trader would attempt to hold the position until
expiration, assuming the short calls have a chance of expiring worthless.
Then the long calls can be held with the expectation of a bullish move,
like any other long call position. Even though you collected premium
from the short calls, you should not expect to have any sort of a "bargain"
on your long calls, because time has passed since you bought them, and
the stock has not moved yet.
Adjustments
- If the
stock moves near one of the breakeven points, it is possible to adjust
a Calendar Call into a "Double Calendar" by buying another
Calendar Call at a higher or lower strike price, whichever way the stock
is moving. This will give a higher overall breakeven point if the stock
is moving up, or lower if the stock is moving down. However, this is
not a guaranteed fix: the stock could whipsaw.
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