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The ITM Calendar
Call is a bearishly oriented option strategy, with a sweet spot below
the current stock price.
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Strategy: Calendar
Call, ITM
a.k.a.
Horizontal Spread, Time Spread
The
Outlook: Bearish on stock price movement, and Implied Volatility
currently low or normal. The expectation is that gains will be made from
the passage of time as well as a drop in the stock price.
The Trade:
Sell call(s) using the next strike price below the current stock
price, and a near term expiration date, and buy call(s) using the same
strike price and an expiration date further out in time.
Gains
when: Stock moves lower, while near term short calls lose value due
to the passage of time.
Maximum
Gain: Must use an options calculator or graphing software. Usually
more than the initial debit.
Loses
when: Stock falls below the lower breakeven point, or does not fall
below the upper breakeven point, or before expiration if volatility falls
too much.
Maximum
Loss : Limited to the initial debit.
Breakeven
Calculation: There are two breakeven points, above and below the
ITM strike. An options calculator or graphing software is necessary to
calculate because the breakevens depend on the volatility.
Advantages
compared to short stock: Increased leverage, much less capital required,
"built-in" stop loss.
Disadvantages
compared to short stock: Greater risk of 100% loss of the capital
invested.
Volatility:
after entry, increasing implied volatility is positive.
Time:
after entry, the passage of time is positive IF the stock moves lower.
Margin
Requirement : None. Initial debit must be paid in full.
Variations:
Calendar Call, ATM; Calendar Call OTM.
Synthetic
Equivalent: No true synthetic, but a Calendar Put using same strikes
and expiration dates is a nearly identical position.
Comments
- An ITM
Calendar Call can be used instead of positioning bearishly with short
stock, ATM long puts, OTM long puts, or ATM Bear
Puts.
- Compared
to short stock, the strategy has much less risk and more leverage.
- Compared
to ATM long puts and ATM Bear Puts, the initial debit is less, which
means the breakeven point is closer.
- Compared
to OTM long puts, much less stock movement is needed for a gain.
The ITM Calendar has it's maximum gain where the OTM long put would
still not be at breakeven.
- And
compared to either type of put by itself, the passage of time helps
the Calendar, IF the stock falls.
- However,
the ITM Calendar Call has a "sweet spot", and if the stock
falls too much the position will be hurt. This is not the case for
any of the other positions.
- The upper
and lower breakeven points of a Calendar Call are determined by the
volatility of the stock. A stock with higher volatility will have a
wider range of profitability. However, buying a Calendar Call when the
stock is at historically high volatility is a bad idea. The volatility
returning to normal levels can easily overcome the gains from both the
stock price falling, and the passage of time.
- Other
variations of Calendar Calls can be used if you have a near term neutral
or bullish opinion on a stock or ETF, and want to target a "sweet
spot" at or higher than the current price. See Calendar
Call, ATM for a neutral strategy, and Calendar
Call, OTM for a bullish strategy.
Exits
- Since
this is a bearish position, the trader is expecting the stock to fall.
If the stock does not fall, it is usually wise to exit the trade, taking
less than the maximum possible loss. Using the graph at the top of the
page, you might exit if the stock rose to about 52 within two weeks,
and your loss would be about half the maximum possible.
- Many Calendar
Call traders with a gain try to be out of the trade with a week left
to expiration. See the Delta
Neutral Trading page for reasons why.
- Over the
long term, successful Calendar Call traders try to beat the market by
having many small gains, and fewer small losses. They do not usually
take the maximum loss nor try to squeeze every penny out of the winners.
Adjustments
- If the
stock stays near or moves near one of the breakeven points, it is possible
to adjust a Calendar Call into a "Double Calendar" by buying
another Calendar Call at a higher or lower strike price, whichever way
the stock is moving. This will give a higher overall breakeven point
if the stock is moving up, or lower if the stock is moving down. However,
this is not a guaranteed fix: the stock could whipsaw.
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